Vision-language models (VLMs) as foundation models have significantly enhanced performance across a wide range of visual and textual tasks, without requiring large-scale training from scratch for downstream tasks. However, these deterministic VLMs fail to capture the inherent ambiguity and uncertainty in natural language and visual data. Recent probabilistic post-hoc adaptation methods address this by mapping deterministic embeddings onto probability distributions; however, existing approaches do not account for the asymmetric uncertainty structure of the modalities, and the constraint that meaningful deterministic embeddings reside on a unit hypersphere, potentially leading to suboptimal performance. In this paper, we address the asymmetric uncertainty structure inherent in textual and visual data, and propose AsymVLM to build probabilistic embeddings from pre-trained VLMs on the unit hypersphere, enabling uncertainty quantification. We validate the effectiveness of the probabilistic embeddings on established benchmarks, and present comprehensive ablation studies demonstrating the inherent nature of asymmetry in the uncertainty structure of textual and visual data.

First proposed by Rahimi and Recht, random features are used to decrease the computational cost of kernel machines in large-scale problems. The Mondrian kernel is one such example of a fast random feature approximation of the Laplace kernel, generated by a computationally efficient hierarchical random partition of the input space known as the Mondrian process. In this work, we study a variation of this random feature map by using uniformly randomly rotated Mondrian processes to approximate a kernel that is invariant under rotations. We obtain a closed-form expression for this isotropic kernel, as well as a uniform convergence rate of the uniformly rotated Mondrian kernel to this limit. To this end, we utilize techniques from the theory of stationary random tessellations in stochastic geometry and prove a new result on the geometry of the typical cell of the superposition of uniformly random rotations of Mondrian tessellations. Finally, we test the empirical performance of this random feature map on both synthetic and real-world datasets, demonstrating its improved performance over the Mondrian kernel on a debiased dataset.

This work studies the statistical advantages of using features comprised of general linear combinations of covariates to partition the data in randomized decision tree and forest regression algorithms. Using random tessellation theory in stochastic geometry, we provide a theoretical analysis of a class of efficiently generated random tree and forest estimators that allow for oblique splits along such features. We call these estimators oblique Mondrian trees and forests, as the trees are generated by first selecting a set of features from linear combinations of the covariates and then running a Mondrian process that hierarchically partitions the data along these features. Generalization error bounds and convergence rates are obtained for the flexible dimension reduction model class of ridge functions (also known as multi-index models), where the output is assumed to depend on a low dimensional relevant feature subspace of the input domain. The results highlight how the risk of these estimators depends on the choice of features and quantify how robust the risk is with respect to error in the estimation of relevant features. The asymptotic analysis also provides conditions on the selected features along which the data is split for these estimators to obtain minimax optimal rates of convergence with respect to the dimension of the relevant feature subspace. Additionally, a lower bound on the risk of axis-aligned Mondrian trees (where features are restricted to the set of covariates) is obtained proving that these estimators are suboptimal for these linear dimension reduction models in general, no matter how the distribution over the covariates used to divide the data at each tree node is weighted.

We can use driving data collected over a long period of time to extract rich information about how vehicles behave in different areas of the roads. In this paper, we introduce the concept of directional primitives, which is a representation of prior information of road networks. Specifically, we represent the uncertainty of directions using a mixture of von Mises distributions and associated speeds using gamma distributions. These location-dependent primitives can be combined with motion information of surrounding vehicles to predict their future behavior in the form of probability distributions. Experiments conducted on highways, intersections, and roundabouts in the Carla simulator, as well as real-world urban driving datasets, indicate that primitives lead to better uncertainty-aware motion estimation.

The modern data analyst must cope with data encoded in various forms, vectors, matrices, strings, graphs, or more. Consequently, statistical and machine learning models tailored to different data encodings are important. We focus on data encoded as normalized vectors, so that their "direction" is more important than their magnitude. Specifically, we consider high-dimensional vectors that lie either on the surface of the unit hypersphere or on the real projective plane. For such data, we briefly review common mathematical models prevalent in machine learning, while also outlining some technical aspects, software, applications, and open mathematical challenges.